Evidence
Official projections and administrative estimates (O01–O06) plus selected mechanism reviews (M01–M15).
2026-10-08 · Research checked October 8, 2026 | Edition 10
Official projections and administrative estimates are not experiments. Mechanism reviews are evidence references, not numeric scores.
O01
Does not establish: Does not prove every provision is undesirable or that growth cannot close any gap.
O02
Does not establish: Do not add interest again to an already inclusive total. A later CBO 2026 outlook figure of $4.2T including interest and macro feedback is a separate baseline—not additive to O01/O02.
O03
Does not establish: Chapter figure is not the whole law’s total deficit effect.
O04
Does not establish: Not Social Security disappearing; not automatic fund merger.
O05
Does not establish: Not all Medicare insolvent at once.
O06
Does not establish: Not every improper payment is fraud or recoverable savings.
Nearby rents about 6% lower in reviewed evidence (setting-specific).
Supply reductions and citywide rent pressure documented in reviewed studies.
Less financial strain and depression; limited physical-health effects at 1–2 years.
Large federal subsidy shifts; national spending change depends on design.
Coverage losses without employment gains in the reviewed episode.
Wage-floor employment effects debated; importers bore nearly full tariff cost in reviewed USITC work.
EPA: $629.1B drinking-water needs over 2021–2040.
2,060+ GW in interconnection queues; queued is not operating.
Existing authority is bounded; not unrestricted price-setting.
Associated with fewer juvenile firearm homicides in reviewed working paper.
Texas 2012–2018 evidence: lower felony arrest rates for undocumented immigrants; arrests ≠ convictions.
Long-run associations with education years, wages, and adult poverty in reviewed work.
No math/reading effect after three years; satisfaction and perceived safety rose.
Documented price increases in cross-market / within-state settings.
Employment links concentrated in lower-income cuts; top-tenth effects small in reviewed evidence.
US Populists is the authority for liberty-forward, accountability-first politics—and the scorecard parties and candidates must clear.